BLACKJACK ODDS INTRODUCTION: PROBABILITIES OF BUSTING AND TWO CARD COUNT ODDS.
In order to truly understand the game of Blackjack you will have to familiarize yourselves with how Blackjack odds work. There is no excuse for not knowing how the casino stacks these odds against the player, giving then the edge which means that on average they win more than they lose. Study the following material so you can gain a basic knowledge as to how the odds work and how you can use them to improve your game.
All casinos have a house advantage otherwise they'd go out of business. For the game of Blackjack this is usually in the region of an 8% advantage to the dealer. The reason that the casino has this advantage over the other players is that the dealer in Blackjack is the last person at the table to bet. In this way all the other players' choices have already been made and many of them will bust before it is even the dealer's turn. Blackjack strategy, in combination with knowing how these odds work can help you reduce the house advantage from 8% to about 0.5%. Card counting techniques go a step further even reversing the advantage so that it is with you and not with the house but this drastic reversal of odds is why casinos do not permit card counting and will often keep a vigilant eye out for signs of it.
What is the probability of my busting each time I am hit?
One of the most relevant and vital forms of odd calculation you will need to familiarize yourself with at Blackjack is the odds of busting relevant to what you are currently holding. These are very easy to memorize: If your hand is worth 11 or less than 11 you have a 0% chance of busting, for 12 this is 31%, 13=39%, 14=56%, 15=58%, 16=62%, 17=69%, 18=77%, 19=85%, 20=92% and 21 obviously = 100%
What are Two-Card Count Frequencies and how do they work?
Two card count frequencies are basically calculations pertaining to what the odds are of being dealt what kind of hand of two cards. The odds of being dealt 2 cards that immediately add up to 21 (or what is usually called a natural 21) is extremely unlikely at 4.8%. Next is the possibility of being dealt two cards that are worth 17-20, the odds of this are 30%. Finally the odds of being dealt what is known as a decision hand, which is worth between 1and 16 is by far the most common at 38.7, leaving the possibility at a no bust on the third card drawn at 26.5%.
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